https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA
.trig | .trig.txt | .jelly | .jelly.txt | .jsonld | .jsonld.txt | .nq | .nq.txt | .xml | .xml.txt
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sub:assertion {
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110>
a <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment>;
dc:description "Downloaded the AnAge build zip, read anage_data.txt, kept Class Aves rows with a positive female maturity in days, and computed the proportion under 365 days. The pre-registered cutoffs 0.15 and 0.40 set the verdict. Proportions that drop questionable rows, or that use 365 and 730 days, are reported and were not used for the verdict.";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment> "Measured: 0.11458333333333333 proportion of bird species with female maturity under 365 days (n = 864). Interpretation: Aristotle's 'propagate within their first year' is read as female sexual maturity strictly before the first birthday (365 days). AnAge's female maturity field is the measurable stand-in for age at first breeding. 'Very few' is fixed in advance as at most 15 percent of species with data; 40 percent or more is common enough to refute that wording. This is a species compilation, not a count of individual birds, and it does not weight species by abundance.";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Claim test of aristotle-ha06-08 (pr-110): supports, confidence 0.68";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso> <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha06-08/pr-110/result.json>;
prov:wasAttributedTo <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7>;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets> "A public species-level life-history compilation, independent of Aristotle's text, that records age at female sexual maturity in days for birds, with a retrievable file, licence, and checksum. Captive and wild records are both admissible; the claim does not restrict origin.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType> "claim-test/0.1.0";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind> "biological";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation> "At least 40 percent of those bird species have female maturity under 365 days, so breeding within the first year is common rather than very rare.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst> "Assessments were read only as hints for which public database to use. No assessor number is a measurement.",
"Confidence rule, fixed now: 0.80 if the verdict is supports and p <= 0.10, or refutes and p >= 0.50; 0.68 if supports or refutes closer to the cutoff; 0.55 if mixed; 0.40 if inconclusive.",
"Many AnAge maturity records are from captivity. The primary proportion does not drop them.",
"Written before this session downloaded or read anage_data.txt. Column names are taken from the AnAge schema documented by the datawookie/anage reader and from the HAGR download page, not from the trait values.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation> "At most 15 percent of bird species with a recorded female maturity age in AnAge reach sexual maturity before 365 days.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion> "Pre-registered. The claim is refuted if n >= 40 and p >= 0.40. If n >= 40 and 0.15 < p < 0.40, the verdict is mixed. If n < 40, or the AnAge table lacks the maturity or class columns, the verdict is inconclusive with reason underpowered or data-unavailable.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence> "0.68"^^xsd:double;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence> <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1>;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict> "supports";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis> "If very few birds breed within their first year, then among bird species with a recorded female age at sexual maturity, the share whose maturity falls before 365 days is small.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod> "Species are the unit. p = (number of Aves rows with female maturity days < 365) / (number of Aves rows with female maturity days > 0). Thresholds are the pre-registered 0.15 and 0.40 cutoffs. No model is fitted. A second proportion that drops rows whose Data quality is 'questionable', and proportions with maturity <= 365 days and < 730 days, are reported and do not set the verdict.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion> "Pre-registered. Using AnAge rows with Class 'Aves' (case-insensitive) and a positive numeric Female maturity (days): let p be the proportion with maturity strictly under 365 days, and n the number of such species. The claim is supported if n >= 40 and p <= 0.15. Maturity of exactly 365 days is the first birthday and does not count as within the first year.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered> "false"^^xsd:boolean .
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<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110> .
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1>
a <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/EvidenceItem>;
dc:description "female age at sexual maturity for bird species";
dc:license "CC BY 3.0 (Human Ageing Genomic Resources terms)";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Dataset: AnAge: The Animal Ageing and Longevity Database, build 15";
prov:atLocation <https://genomics.senescence.info/species/dataset.zip>;
prov:wasDerivedFrom <https://genomics.senescence.info/species/>;
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this: dc:created "2026-11-08T16:24:31.770Z"^^xsd:dateTime;
dc:creator <https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192>;
dc:license <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/>;
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npx:introduces <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110>;
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Claim test of aristotle-ha06-08 (pr-110): supports, confidence 0.68";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/domain> <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/domain/aristotle-biology> .
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