https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/Head https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasAssertion https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/assertion https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasProvenance https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/provenance https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasPublicationInfo https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/pubinfo https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#Nanopublication https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/assertion https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 http://purl.org/dc/terms/description Downloaded the AnAge build zip, read anage_data.txt, kept Class Aves rows with a positive female maturity in days, and computed the proportion under 365 days. The pre-registered cutoffs 0.15 and 0.40 set the verdict. Proportions that drop questionable rows, or that use 365 and 730 days, are reported and were not used for the verdict. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment Measured: 0.11458333333333333 proportion of bird species with female maturity under 365 days (n = 864). Interpretation: Aristotle's 'propagate within their first year' is read as female sexual maturity strictly before the first birthday (365 days). AnAge's female maturity field is the measurable stand-in for age at first breeding. 'Very few' is fixed in advance as at most 15 percent of species with data; 40 percent or more is common enough to refute that wording. This is a species compilation, not a count of individual birds, and it does not weight species by abundance. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label Claim test of aristotle-ha06-08 (pr-110): supports, confidence 0.68 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha06-08/pr-110/result.json https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAttributedTo https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets A public species-level life-history compilation, independent of Aristotle's text, that records age at female sexual maturity in days for birds, with a retrievable file, licence, and checksum. Captive and wild records are both admissible; the claim does not restrict origin. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType claim-test/0.1.0 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind biological https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation At least 40 percent of those bird species have female maturity under 365 days, so breeding within the first year is common rather than very rare. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst Assessments were read only as hints for which public database to use. No assessor number is a measurement. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst Confidence rule, fixed now: 0.80 if the verdict is supports and p <= 0.10, or refutes and p >= 0.50; 0.68 if supports or refutes closer to the cutoff; 0.55 if mixed; 0.40 if inconclusive. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst Many AnAge maturity records are from captivity. The primary proportion does not drop them. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst Written before this session downloaded or read anage_data.txt. Column names are taken from the AnAge schema documented by the datawookie/anage reader and from the HAGR download page, not from the trait values. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation At most 15 percent of bird species with a recorded female maturity age in AnAge reach sexual maturity before 365 days. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion Pre-registered. The claim is refuted if n >= 40 and p >= 0.40. If n >= 40 and 0.15 < p < 0.40, the verdict is mixed. If n < 40, or the AnAge table lacks the maturity or class columns, the verdict is inconclusive with reason underpowered or data-unavailable. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence 0.68 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict supports https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis If very few birds breed within their first year, then among bird species with a recorded female age at sexual maturity, the share whose maturity falls before 365 days is small. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod Species are the unit. p = (number of Aves rows with female maturity days < 365) / (number of Aves rows with female maturity days > 0). Thresholds are the pre-registered 0.15 and 0.40 cutoffs. No model is fitted. A second proportion that drops rows whose Data quality is 'questionable', and proportions with maturity <= 365 days and < 730 days, are reported and do not set the verdict. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion Pre-registered. Using AnAge rows with Class 'Aves' (case-insensitive) and a positive numeric Female maturity (days): let p be the proportion with maturity strictly under 365 days, and n the number of such species. The claim is supported if n >= 40 and p <= 0.15. Maturity of exactly 365 days is the first birthday and does not count as within the first year. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered false https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/claim/aristotle-ha06-08 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasAssessment https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1 http://purl.org/dc/terms/description female age at sexual maturity for bird species https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1 http://purl.org/dc/terms/license CC BY 3.0 (Human Ageing Genomic Resources terms) https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1 http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/EvidenceItem https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label Dataset: AnAge: The Animal Ageing and Longevity Database, build 15 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1 http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#atLocation https://genomics.senescence.info/species/dataset.zip https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1 http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasDerivedFrom https://genomics.senescence.info/species/ https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasChecksum sha256:e3ddb66e32e973a79932859ba53013e8f60d957c6ec01c6eb573e3ea3018d630 https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/provenance https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7 http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#SoftwareAgent https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label delphisci claim tester (Grok 4.7; cursor/aristotle-claim-tests-a5fd) https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7 http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#actedOnBehalfOf https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/usesModel https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/model/grok-4-7 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/model/grok-4-7 http://purl.org/dc/terms/identifier Grok 4.7 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/model/grok-4-7 http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/LanguageModel https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/assertion http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAttributedTo https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7 https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/assertion http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasDerivedFrom https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha06-08/pr-110/result.json https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/assertion http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasGeneratedBy https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/test https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/plan http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#hadPlan https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/README.md https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/test http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#Activity https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/test http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#qualifiedAssociation https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/plan https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/test http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAssociatedWith https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7 https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/pubinfo https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://purl.org/dc/terms/created 2026-11-08T16:24:31.770Z https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://purl.org/dc/terms/creator https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192 https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://purl.org/dc/terms/license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasNanopubType https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://purl.org/nanopub/x/introduces https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label Claim test of aristotle-ha06-08 (pr-110): supports, confidence 0.68 https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/domain https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/domain/aristotle-biology https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasAlgorithm RSA https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasPublicKey MIIBIjANBgkqhkiG9w0BAQEFAAOCAQ8AMIIBCgKCAQEAyFHtPB6p0mCjDozxlOY9CmO3nBm7Te3jFbXyLmM+G1tGe47Da0jYIbhkl9Oo1ZjxmCa3LCwlEqK8gj6hEIcL4ahW30JXh9HycfKVk1bugkzMEV15tJdTzAU3sGMFnbNsn43xY2LFLy45tApkRm5byEiM7oRRrooIdwoQKnP4Wzq/bfAoJ9qvW+MGkelyOTd1jbSt+KfmT7xKmDfWzAHddUlWwMX2QJOLxDaffOteTop6ZRgPiNmPJKA/S62Gac9XtSYT3oDkZ6/nr5cxxNLpOyxTf5FPISiCe11xYO/unYjY+mwnOfA8yhJIyx1l0O9I0vpOpn+E5TvyHJV+oSTrvwIDAQAB https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasSignature kBKo0wm7dEZEsmXlp/MzTixUxcfZMa4XeLt1g6RjeTMQZyRS0VmTo3DlffOSvm/SFQ4HUVRLmlXECyZzNuWW+AYr5mqX55gz5nyO7iJwmq2R0/qbBMv77HxUMiFY3kK/ncf5nT3Jevvs0IQFR8RCejbYMt5Em3F9HLyBGvn+/ij6mwaa3qRjf58pChM1kozJshWvJJkyPvR0Inb/gML0B/Soqd+vRQlkPjH6RWMQF9FiggxFGyPUYlDvlrcLSluh488AS3G6tdpc3+qC117Z3Y52AerGBc60+SCqHzMKwZfKeHns+Fjo1b7FMIVcEUusi5g6X7pvQvP9W4Sq+0+PpA== https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasSignatureTarget https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA https://w3id.org/np/RAsJRCq-Q-r8LYeACqJAu-cc1C_HPk52GFkAutVim07qA/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/signedBy https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192