https://w3id.org/np/RAN3TmB2ukc3k_Ak9gtHrZ6nzYMEz12cl6-jRaoSmnuE4
.trig | .trig.txt | .jelly | .jelly.txt | .jsonld | .jsonld.txt | .nq | .nq.txt | .xml | .xml.txt
@prefix this: <https://w3id.org/np/RAN3TmB2ukc3k_Ak9gtHrZ6nzYMEz12cl6-jRaoSmnuE4> .
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@prefix dc: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> .
@prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> .
sub:Head {
this: a np:Nanopublication;
np:hasAssertion sub:assertion;
np:hasProvenance sub:provenance;
np:hasPublicationInfo sub:pubinfo .
}
sub:assertion {
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test> a <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment>;
dc:description "Downloaded the AnAge build 15 zip, checked SHA-256 and byte size, and read anage_data.txt. Among rows with Class Aves and Female maturity (days) > 0, p is the share under 365 days. Male maturity and the earliest of the two sexes are reported and do not set the verdict.";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment> "Measured: 0.11458333333333333 share of bird species with female maturity under 365 days (n = 864). Interpretation: Propagate within their first year is read as female age at sexual maturity under 365 days. AnAge records maturity, not the age of the first successful clutch in the wild; that mapping is stated here and is not changed if the proportion is high or low. The scope is birds generally, so the denominator is every AnAge bird with the field filled, not a subset of large birds.";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Claim test of aristotle-ha06-08: mixed, confidence 0.5";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso> <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha06-08/result.json>;
prov:wasAttributedTo <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7>;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets> "A published species-level life-history table with female age at maturity in days and a class label for birds, compiled independently of Aristotle. The Amniote Life-History Database (Myhrvold et al. 2015) was the assessors' other candidate; a HEAD request to https://esapubs.org/archive/ecol/E096/269/Amniote_Database_Aug_2015.csv on 2026-11-02T00:21:31Z returned HTTP 404, so it is not an admissible file for this run.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType> "claim-test/0.1.0";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind> "biological";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation> "At least a quarter of those species have female maturity under 365 days.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst> "426 of 864 species are coded at exactly 365.0 days. The pre-registered cut is strictly under 365 days, so those species are not counted as breeding in the first year. The share at or under 365 days is 525/864 and is not used for the verdict.",
"Age at maturity is an imperfect stand-in for age at first breeding. Captive and wild records are pooled as AnAge publishes them.",
"AnAge female maturity mixes wild and captive records and is age at sexual maturity, not the age of the first wild clutch.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation> "Fewer than ten percent of bird species with a recorded female age at maturity mature before one year of age.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion> "Pre-registered. The claim is refuted if p >= 0.25 and the number of species is at least 80. The verdict is 'mixed' if 0.10 <= p < 0.25 with at least 80 species: more than very few, and still a minority. The verdict is 'inconclusive' with reason 'underpowered' if fewer than 80 bird species have a positive female maturity, and with reason 'data-unavailable' if the zip checksum does not match the registered SHA-256, or the class or female-maturity column cannot be identified. Very few is not defined by Aristotle; the 0.10 and 0.25 cuts are this test's reading of that phrase and were fixed before the column was opened.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence> "0.5"^^xsd:double;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence> <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--dataset-1>;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict> "mixed";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis> "If very few birds propagate within their first year, then the share of bird species with female age at maturity under 365 days is under one tenth.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod> "Proportion of Aves rows with female maturity days in (0, 365), among rows with female maturity days > 0. Thresholds 0.10 (support) and 0.25 (refute), minimum n = 80.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion> "Pre-registered. From AnAge build 15, class Aves (the class field, lowercased, is aves or birds or bird), species with female maturity in days strictly greater than 0. Let p be the share of those species whose female maturity is strictly under 365 days. The claim is supported if p < 0.10 and the number of species is at least 80. Male maturity and unsexed maturity are reported and are not substituted for female maturity.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered> "false"^^xsd:boolean .
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/claim/aristotle-ha06-08> <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasAssessment>
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test> .
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test--dataset-1>
a <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/EvidenceItem>;
dc:description "female age at maturity for birds";
dc:license "CC BY 3.0";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Dataset: AnAge: The Animal Ageing and Longevity Database, build 15";
prov:atLocation <https://genomics.senescence.info/species/dataset.zip>;
prov:wasDerivedFrom <https://genomics.senescence.info/species/>;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasChecksum> "sha256:e3ddb66e32e973a79932859ba53013e8f60d957c6ec01c6eb573e3ea3018d630" .
}
sub:provenance {
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<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "delphisci claim tester (grok-4.7; cursor/aristotle-biology-claim-tests-e1fe)";
prov:actedOnBehalfOf <https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192>;
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dc:identifier "grok-4.7" .
sub:assertion prov:wasAttributedTo <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7>;
prov:wasDerivedFrom <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha06-08/result.json>;
prov:wasGeneratedBy sub:test .
sub:plan prov:hadPlan <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/README.md> .
sub:test a prov:Activity;
prov:qualifiedAssociation sub:plan;
prov:wasAssociatedWith <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7> .
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sub:pubinfo {
this: dc:created "2026-11-08T16:24:31.769Z"^^xsd:dateTime;
dc:creator <https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192>;
dc:license <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/>;
npx:hasNanopubType <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment>;
npx:introduces <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha06-08--claim-test>;
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Claim test of aristotle-ha06-08: mixed, confidence 0.5";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/domain> <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/domain/aristotle-biology> .
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npx:hasSignatureTarget this:;
npx:signedBy <https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192> .
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