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https://w3id.org/np/RAx3PMHxDPH81iAq2Sfo5c5C7s-CccW6n-ZFb6XYRP8Wk/assertion
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
analysis.py downloads the international periods, ages and eras tables from Macrostrat, the ICS-derived international time scale from the Paleobiology Database, and the Chalk Group record from the BGS Lexicon, and reads the top age of the Cretaceous, the Mesozoic and the Maastrichtian from each server and the youngest-age value of the Chalk Group from BGS. The largest of these seven readings (the most generous to Darwin) is taken as the time elapsed since the latter part of the Chalk, and compared with the pre-registered thresholds of 300 Ma (pass) and 150 Ma (outright refutation).
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment
Measured: 66 Ma (age of the top of the Cretaceous / Mesozoic = end of Chalk deposition) (n = 7, all 7 readings agree to within 0 Myr; ICS quotes no error bar on the K/Pg boundary age). Interpretation: Darwin's 'latter part of the Secondary period' and 'latter part of the Chalk formation' are mapped to the top of the Cretaceous System (= top of the Mesozoic Erathem), whose numerical age is fixed by radiometric calibration in the International Chronostratigraphic Chart. The Chalk Group of south-east England is the youngest formation that was removed over the Weald, so the time since its deposition ended is an upper bound on the duration of the denudation. Darwin's own erosion-rate premise (one inch per century on a 500-foot cliff) is not tested; only his numerical conclusion is. No modern reinterpretation of the claim is needed: Darwin states a number of years, and radiometric dating measures the same quantity.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Claim test of darwin1859-ch09-03: refutes, confidence 0.98
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso
https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/darwin-origin/darwin1859-ch09-03/result.json
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-claude-fable-5-1
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets
Planned datasets: macrostrat-international-intervals, pbdb-international-timescale, bgs-lexicon-chalk-group
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType
claim-test/0.1.0
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind
physical
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation
The age of the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary is < 300 Ma. The claim is refuted outright (not merely imprecise) if it is < 150 Ma, i.e. less than half of Darwin's figure, since the denudation of the Weald cannot have taken longer than the time elapsed since the youngest Chalk was deposited.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
API responses can change when the servers adopt a newer ICS chart, so the SHA-256 values record the responses at retrieval time rather than a versioned archive file; the boundary age of 66.0 Ma has been stable across ICS chart versions since 2012.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
Darwin hedged his own number ('some crude notion'), and in the 3rd edition (1861) he withdrew the passage; the claim as stated in the 1st edition is nevertheless a definite figure and is what is tested.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
The test accepts the ICS radiometric calibration of the geological time scale as correct; the result rests on that body of dating, not on an independent measurement made here.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
Which bed counts as 'the latter part of the Secondary period' moves the target by at most a few tens of Myr (Cenomanian base 100.5 Ma to Maastrichtian top 66 Ma); no reading comes within a factor of 2.9 of 300 Ma.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation
The age of the Cretaceous-Paleogene (Mesozoic-Cenozoic) boundary in the current International Chronostratigraphic Chart, as served by Macrostrat and cross-checked against the Paleobiology Database timescale, is >= 300 Ma; equivalently the maximum possible duration of post-Chalk denudation (time since the youngest Chalk) is >= 300 Myr.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion
The age of the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary is < 300 Ma. The claim is refuted outright (not merely imprecise) if it is < 150 Ma, i.e. less than half of Darwin's figure, since the denudation of the Weald cannot have taken longer than the time elapsed since the youngest Chalk was deposited.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence
0.98
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-2
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-3
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict
refutes
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis
If Darwin is right, more than 300 million years have elapsed since the latter part of the Chalk formation (the close of the Secondary, i.e. Mesozoic, era), so the radiometric age of the top of the Cretaceous / Mesozoic must exceed 300 Ma, and the denudation of the Weald (removal of the Chalk and underlying beds over the Wealden dome) could have occupied about 300 million years.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod
analysis.py downloads the international periods, ages and eras tables from Macrostrat, the ICS-derived international time scale from the Paleobiology Database, and the Chalk Group record from the BGS Lexicon, and reads the top age of the Cretaceous, the Mesozoic and the Maastrichtian from each server and the youngest-age value of the Chalk Group from BGS. The largest of these seven readings (the most generous to Darwin) is taken as the time elapsed since the latter part of the Chalk, and compared with the pre-registered thresholds of 300 Ma (pass) and 150 Ma (outright refutation).
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion
The age of the Cretaceous-Paleogene (Mesozoic-Cenozoic) boundary in the current International Chronostratigraphic Chart, as served by Macrostrat and cross-checked against the Paleobiology Database timescale, is >= 300 Ma; equivalently the maximum possible duration of post-Chalk denudation (time since the youngest Chalk) is >= 300 Myr.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered
false
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/claim/darwin1859-ch09-03
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
top and base ages of the Cretaceous, Maastrichtian, Cenomanian and Mesozoic
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
http://purl.org/dc/terms/license
CC BY 4.0
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
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https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/EvidenceItem
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Dataset: Macrostrat API v2: international periods, ages and eras (ICS chart ages)
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#atLocation
https://macrostrat.org/api/v2/defs/intervals?timescale_id=1
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#atLocation
https://macrostrat.org/api/v2/defs/intervals?timescale_id=13
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#atLocation
https://macrostrat.org/api/v2/defs/intervals?timescale_id=3
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasDerivedFrom
https://macrostrat.org/api/v2/defs/intervals
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-1
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http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
independent server for the same ICS boundary ages; cross-check of Macrostrat
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-2
http://purl.org/dc/terms/license
CC BY 4.0
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-2
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Dataset: Paleobiology Database data service 1.2: international chronostratigraphic time scale (scale_id=1), sourced from the ICS International Chronostratigraphic Chart v2024/12
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-2
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http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
oldest and youngest age (Cenomanian-Maastrichtian, 100.5-66 Ma) of the Chalk Group, the youngest unit removed over the Weald
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-3
http://purl.org/dc/terms/license
Open Government Licence v3.0
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-3
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Dataset: BGS Lexicon of Named Rock Units, linked-data record for the Chalk Group (CK)
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/darwin1859-ch09-03--claim-test--dataset-3
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#atLocation
https://data.bgs.ac.uk/id/Lexicon/NamedRockUnit/CK
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Claim test of darwin1859-ch09-03: refutes, confidence 0.98
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https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/domain
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/domain/darwin-origin-1859
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https://w3id.org/np/RAx3PMHxDPH81iAq2Sfo5c5C7s-CccW6n-ZFb6XYRP8Wk/sig
http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasSignatureTarget
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http://purl.org/nanopub/x/signedBy
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