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http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
analysis.py sieves the integers through 400000, takes the first 16384 gaps from the prime 3, and computes the Shannon entropy of overlapping 8-bit blocks of (gap/2) mod 2. The same entropy is computed for a constant sequence of ones and for an alternating sequence. Every number in measured is written to derived/measured.json by that script.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
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http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment
Measured: 7.788983 bits of overlapping 8-bit block entropy of half-gap parity (n = 16384, plugin estimator on 16377 overlapping windows; no sampling interval). Interpretation: Wolfram's remark that the primes obtained from the sieve look remarkably random is read as a statement about the gap sequence, not about the primes being odd (that parity is constant after 2). The raw gap parity after 2 is identically even, so it cannot witness randomness; the parity of the half-gap is the pre-registered randomness statistic. The repetitive controls are synthetic gap parities (all half-gaps odd; half-gaps alternating in parity), not other number sequences. 'Remarkably random' is operationalized only as high block entropy relative to those controls.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Claim test of wolfram2002-ch04-09: supports, confidence 0.74
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
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https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets
The bit string must be generated by the sieve of Eratosthenes at the locked limit 400000, using only gaps from the prime 3 onward. No external prime table is consulted. The computation is not evidence about organisms.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType
claim-test/0.1.0
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
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computational
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation
The same entropy is below 5.0 bits even though the two repetitive controls sit at or below 1.01. An entropy between 5.0 and 7.2 is mixed, not a confirmation.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
A match shows only that this computation behaves as claimed for this statistic. It says nothing about organisms.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
Every gap in the sample is even (odd_gaps_in_sample = 0). Raw gap parity is therefore a constant and was not used as the randomness statistic.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
Finite check: 16384 gaps, the largest prime used being 180533, from a sieve limited to 400000. A different bound or a different statistic can disagree.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
The ones-frequency of the half-gap parity is 0.586365 (9607 of 16384), so the sequence is biased away from a fair coin. The pre-registered statistic was block entropy, which still cleared 7.2 (measured 7.788983, all 256 blocks seen). Unbiasedness was not the pass criterion.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation
Overlapping 8-bit block entropy of the first 16384 half-gap parities from the prime 3 is at least 7.2 bits, while a constant control is 0 and an alternating control is at most 1.01.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion
Pre-registered. If both controls pass and H8 < 5.0, the verdict is refutes: the half-gap parity sequence is not remarkably random on this statistic. If both controls pass and 5.0 <= H8 < 7.2, the verdict is mixed. A match is only about this finite sieve and this statistic. It does not say that the primes are random in every respect, and it says nothing about organisms.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
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0.74
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supports
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis
The parity of successive half-gaps of the primes (gap/2 mod 2, gaps from the prime 3 onward) has overlapping 8-bit block entropy close to the 8-bit maximum, while a constant half-gap sequence and an alternating half-gap sequence stay at or below 1 bit.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod
Shannon entropy of overlapping 8-bit blocks, compared with the two locked thresholds and with the two locked repetitive controls. The frequency of ones is reported and does not decide the verdict.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion
Pre-registered. Sieve of Eratosthenes on the integers 0..400000. Take the first 16384 gaps whose left endpoint is a prime >= 3 (so every gap is even). Let b_i = ((p_{i+1}-p_i)/2) mod 2. Let H8 be the Shannon entropy, in bits, of the overlapping length-8 blocks of b. Supports if H8 >= 7.2 and both controls pass: the constant sequence of 16384 ones has H8 = 0, and the alternating sequence 1,0,1,0,... has H8 <= 1.01. If fewer than 16384 such gaps exist below 400000, or a control misses its bound, the verdict is inconclusive.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered
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http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
the prime gaps whose half-gap parity is the randomness statistic
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/wolfram2002-ch04-09--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Dataset: Primes generated by the sieve of Eratosthenes up to 400000
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Claim test of wolfram2002-ch04-09: supports, confidence 0.74
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