https://w3id.org/np/RAmZDQw01mPdJM6YyLDTfKW-L4lJb1hyCdyA1IYZPCEs0/Head https://w3id.org/np/RAmZDQw01mPdJM6YyLDTfKW-L4lJb1hyCdyA1IYZPCEs0 http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasAssertion https://w3id.org/np/RAmZDQw01mPdJM6YyLDTfKW-L4lJb1hyCdyA1IYZPCEs0/assertion https://w3id.org/np/RAmZDQw01mPdJM6YyLDTfKW-L4lJb1hyCdyA1IYZPCEs0 http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasProvenance https://w3id.org/np/RAmZDQw01mPdJM6YyLDTfKW-L4lJb1hyCdyA1IYZPCEs0/provenance https://w3id.org/np/RAmZDQw01mPdJM6YyLDTfKW-L4lJb1hyCdyA1IYZPCEs0 http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasPublicationInfo https://w3id.org/np/RAmZDQw01mPdJM6YyLDTfKW-L4lJb1hyCdyA1IYZPCEs0/pubinfo https://w3id.org/np/RAmZDQw01mPdJM6YyLDTfKW-L4lJb1hyCdyA1IYZPCEs0 http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#Nanopublication https://w3id.org/np/RAmZDQw01mPdJM6YyLDTfKW-L4lJb1hyCdyA1IYZPCEs0/assertion https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test http://purl.org/dc/terms/description analysis.py downloads the Jeffery, Bininda-Emonds, Coates and Richardson additional-data PDF and reads it with pdftotext -layout. Species names are taken in order from the abbreviation sentence. Each numbered event line contributes its corrected stage, ignoring a parenthetical original stage and treating '?' as missing. For each species the earliest cardiovascular stage is compared with the earliest stage among the other nine organ systems. 14 species have both values; 10 have the heart strictly later, 0 strictly earlier, and 4 tied. The causal claim that the heart is the origin of the vessels is not scored. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment Measured: 10 species in which the earliest cardiovascular stage is strictly later than another organ system (n = 14, stage numbers are the authors' corrected scores; missing entries are omitted, not imputed). Interpretation: Blooded animals are the vertebrates in this table (shark, amphibians, reptiles, birds, mammals). 'Distinctly formed' is the first scored event of that organ system, not a molecular marker. Using the earliest cardiovascular event is conservative for a refutation: if even the earliest heart-system event is after another organ system, the heart is not the first part. It is generous for a pass, because the earliest cardiovascular event might be a vessel or blood island rather than a formed heart; a pass would carry that caveat, and a refutation would not. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label Claim test of aristotle-ga02-19: refutes, confidence 0.86 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ga02-19/result.json https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAttributedTo https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets The authors' additional-data table of corrected stages for the same event list, checksummed. The planned file is https://uol.de/f/5/inst/biologie/ag/systematik/download/Publications/Tetrapods_AD.pdf of Jeffery, Bininda-Emonds, Coates and Richardson, Evolution & Development 4:292-302 (2002), DOI 10.1046/j.1525-142X.2002.02018.x. No species and no event may be dropped after the numbers are seen. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType claim-test/0.1.0 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind biological https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation In at least one scored vertebrate, some non-cardiovascular organ-system event has a smaller corrected stage than every cardiovascular event. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst Stage numbers are comparable within a species' own normal table, which is the comparison used. They are not comparable across species. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst The PDF does not state a licence. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst The earliest cardiovascular event may be a vessel or a blood island rather than a formed heart. A species in which that event is already later than another organ system still cannot have the heart first. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst The sentence that the heart is the origin of the vessels and the other parts is not tested by stage order. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst The table has 14 vertebrates. That is the denominator, not every blooded species. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation In every scored vertebrate, the minimum cardiovascular stage number is strictly smaller than the minimum stage of each other organ system. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion Pre-registered. Refutes if at least one species with both minima has heart stage strictly greater than other stage. Mixed if no species is strictly later but at least one species ties, so the heart is not strictly first in all of them, and at least one species is strictly earlier. Inconclusive, reason underpowered, if fewer than eight species have both minima. Inconclusive, reason data-unavailable, if the PDF cannot be retrieved or the stage grid cannot be parsed into the fourteen named species and the ten organ-system prefixes. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence 0.86 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test--dataset-1 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict refutes https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis If the claim holds, then in every blooded species in a comparative stage table the earliest cardiovascular stage is strictly earlier than the earliest stage of every other organ system. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod Per species, compare the minimum corrected Car stage with the minimum corrected stage of the other nine systems, ignoring missing entries. The universal claim passes only if all species with both values are strict heart-first, with a denominator of at least eight species. One strict reversal refutes. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ga02-19--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion Pre-registered before the stage table was downloaded. Species and events are those in the Jeffery, Bininda-Emonds, Coates and Richardson additional-data stage table. A stage token is the corrected stage: the leading number, ignoring a parenthetical original stage; '?' is missing. For each species, heart stage is the minimum cardiovascular (Car) stage, and other stage is the minimum stage among axial, intestinal, kidney, limb, neural, olfactory, optic, otic and pharyngeal events. A species supports the claim only if both minima exist and heart stage is strictly less than other stage. The claim passes only if every species that has both minima supports it, and at least eight species have both minima. Ties do not pass: 'first' means strictly before. 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