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Within-quarter fits and a fish-only count are reported as sensitivity checks; the plaice k profile by 1-cm class is the pre-registered secondary." } g_iri { prefix_id: 2 name_id: 4 } } } rows { prefix { value: "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/" } } rows { name { value: "Assessment" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 4 name_id: 10 } o_iri { prefix_id: 10 name_id: 14 } } } rows { prefix { value: "http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#" } } rows { name { value: "comment" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 11 } o_literal { lex: "Measured: 0.7 fraction of eligible taxa (14 of 20) in which k = W/L^3 varies by >= 10% across the growing range and the cube law is rejected at P < 0.001 (n = 20, exactly at the pre-registered 70% threshold; fish only (17 taxa, jellyfish excluded): 11/17 = 0.647; within-quarter fits: 21 of 30 variable). Interpretation: The first half of the claim (W = k L^3 for an animal of fixed form and density) is geometry and is not tested. The empirical content is Thompson\'s expectation that k \'is by no means constant\' while growth continues, because form keeps changing; the 10% threshold is the amount of k variation that would be clearly visible on his Fig. 21 (plaice k rises about 15% from small fish to the 30-cm maximum). Changes of k can also come from density, gut fullness or gonad state rather than shape (assessors\' caveat); the test cannot separate these, so a supporting result shows that k varies, not that form is the reason. Pooling years and quarters mixes seasonal condition cycles into the k-vs-length relation; the analysis therefore also reports results within each quarter as a robustness check (pre-registered, not part of the verdict). Length conversion: LngtCode \'1\' means LngtClass in cm; \'.\' or \'0\' means mm. A single probe request (NS-IBTS 2019 Q1 CA, HTTP status and first record only) was made before this pre-registration to confirm that the web service is reachable." } } } rows { name { value: "label" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "Claim test of thompson1917-ch02-01: supports, confidence 0.55" } } } rows { name { value: "seeAlso" } } rows { prefix { value: "https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/thompson-growth-form/thompson1917-ch02-01/" } } rows { name { value: "result.json" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_iri { prefix_id: 12 } } } rows { name { value: "wasAttributedTo" } } rows { prefix { value: "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/" } } rows { name { value: "delphisci-claim-tester-claude-fable-5-1-thinking-high" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 5 } o_iri { prefix_id: 13 } } } rows { name { value: "admissibleDatasets" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 10 } o_literal { lex: "Planned datasets: ices-datras-ns-ibts-ca-hh" } } } rows { name { value: "assessmentType" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "claim-test/0.1.0" } } } rows { name { value: "dataKind" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "biological" } } } rows { name { value: "disconfirmingObservation" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "Pre-registered (claim refuted). At most 30% of eligible species have variable k (k is effectively constant across the growing range in most fishes, contrary to Thompson\'s expectation). Between 30% and 70% is \'mixed\'. If fewer than 10 species are eligible the verdict is \'inconclusive\' (data-unavailable)." } } } rows { name { value: "evidenceAgainst" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "A varying k is consistent with, but does not demonstrate, a change of form: condition, gut fullness, gonad state and ontogenetic changes in density or fat content also change W at fixed L (assessors\' caveat). The test therefore addresses Thompson\'s empirical expectation that k will be found to vary, not his inference about form." } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "Eutrigla appears twice (species-level and genus-level records); neither set has variable k (the genus-level set is the only taxon in which the cube law is not even rejected), so merging them would give 14/19 = 0.74." } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "Lengths are 1-cm (or coarser) classes, weights are from survey scales at sea (whole-gram or coarser), sexes and years are pooled, and fish are treated as independent; the F-test P-values are therefore nominal. The 10% k-range threshold, not the P-value, is what separates taxa here." } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "The result sits exactly on the pre-registered threshold (14/20 = 70.0%), so the verdict is fragile: excluding the three jellyfish taxa (bell diameter is not a fish length, though they are \'other growing animals\' within the claim\'s scope) gives 11/17 = 65% and the verdict would be \'mixed\'. The robust findings are weaker than the verdict label: the cube law is rejected statistically in 19 of 20 taxa (huge samples make any departure significant), the median exponent b is 3.07 (range 2.35-3.38), but only 9 of 20 taxa have |b - 3| > 0.1, and k varies by >= 10% across the central 95% of lengths in 14. So k is \'by no means constant\' in a majority, but in a sizeable minority of fishes (plaice, dab, grey gurnard, starry ray, starry smooth-hound) it is constant to within 5-10% across a 3-fold length range." } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "Thompson\'s specific plaice observation (k rising to a maximum near 30 cm and then declining) is not reproduced: in 54,375 North Sea plaice k is lowest at 5-10 cm (0.90) and at 20-25 cm (0.91) and rises monotonically to 1.01 at 45-50 cm, with no decline at large sizes; the overall exponent is 3.02 and k varies by only 5% between 13.5 and 40.5 cm. His 1909 data were from one locality and season; the pooled survey sample mixes seasons (Q1 spawning condition is about 10% lower than Q3, see claim ch03-18) and areas, which could flatten or shift a peak. Within-quarter fits were still \'variable k\' in 21 of 30 species-quarter combinations." } } } rows { name { value: "expectedObservation" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "Pre-registered (claim supported). In ICES NS-IBTS CA records (Q1 and Q3, 2015-2024, individual weights, CANoAtLngt = 1), for every species with at least 500 weighed fish whose 97.5th-percentile length is at least 3 times its 2.5th-percentile length, fit log10 W = a + b1 log10 L + b2 (log10 L)^2 after dropping fish with |residual| > 0.5 log10 units from a preliminary linear fit (pre-registered cleaning). A species has \'variable k\' if (i) an F-test rejects the cube law (model with b1 = 3, b2 = 0) at P < 0.001 and (ii) the fitted k = W / L^3 varies by at least 10% (max/min >= 1.10) across the species\' 2.5th-97.5th percentile length range. The claim is supported if at least 70% of eligible species have variable k. Secondary, descriptive: in plaice, the 1-cm-bin mean of k is maximal somewhere between 20 and 40 cm and is lower at both smaller and larger lengths." } } } rows { name { value: "failCriterion" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "Pre-registered (claim refuted). At most 30% of eligible species have variable k (k is effectively constant across the growing range in most fishes, contrary to Thompson\'s expectation). Between 30% and 70% is \'mixed\'. If fewer than 10 species are eligible the verdict is \'inconclusive\' (data-unavailable)." } } } rows { name { value: "hasConfidence" } } rows { datatype { value: "http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#double" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "0.55" datatype: 1 } } } rows { name { value: "hasEvidence" } } rows { prefix { value: "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/" } } rows { name { value: "thompson1917-ch02-01--claim-test--dataset-1" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_iri { prefix_id: 14 } } } rows { name { value: "hasVerdict" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 10 } o_literal { lex: "supports" } } } rows { name { value: "hypothesis" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "Weight scales as the cube of length (W = k L^3) only while form and density are unchanged, and Thompson expects form to keep changing as long as growth continues; so in real growing fishes k = W / L^3 should NOT be constant across the size range: it should vary systematically with length in most species (in plaice, by his Fig. 21, rising to a maximum near 30 cm and then declining)." } } } rows { name { value: "inferenceMethod" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "The download and derivation are shared with claim ch03-18 (../thompson1917-ch03-18/fetch.py; fetch.py here delegates to it): per species a preliminary OLS of log10 W on log10 L drops 258 fish with |residual| > 0.5 (pre-registered), then fish are binned per species x quarter x 1-cm length class with n, sum and sum of squares of log10 W (derived/ns_ibts_lw_bins.csv). analysis.py keeps taxa with >= 500 fish and a 97.5th/2.5th percentile length ratio >= 3 (20 taxa: 12 teleosts, 5 elasmobranchs, 3 scyphozoan jellyfish), fits log10 W = a + b1 x + b2 x^2 (x = log10 L) by weighted least squares on class means (exact individual-level OLS since all fish in a class share L), tests it against the cube law (b1 = 3, b2 = 0) by F-test, and computes the ratio of fitted k = W/L^3 between its maximum and minimum over the 2.5-97.5 percentile length range; \'variable k\' = P < 0.001 and ratio >= 1.10. Within-quarter fits and a fish-only count are reported as sensitivity checks; the plaice k profile by 1-cm class is the pre-registered secondary." } } } rows { name { value: "passCriterion" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "Pre-registered (claim supported). In ICES NS-IBTS CA records (Q1 and Q3, 2015-2024, individual weights, CANoAtLngt = 1), for every species with at least 500 weighed fish whose 97.5th-percentile length is at least 3 times its 2.5th-percentile length, fit log10 W = a + b1 log10 L + b2 (log10 L)^2 after dropping fish with |residual| > 0.5 log10 units from a preliminary linear fit (pre-registered cleaning). A species has \'variable k\' if (i) an F-test rejects the cube law (model with b1 = 3, b2 = 0) at P < 0.001 and (ii) the fitted k = W / L^3 varies by at least 10% (max/min >= 1.10) across the species\' 2.5th-97.5th percentile length range. The claim is supported if at least 70% of eligible species have variable k. Secondary, descriptive: in plaice, the 1-cm-bin mean of k is maximal somewhere between 20 and 40 cm and is lower at both smaller and larger lengths." } } } rows { name { value: "preregistered" } } rows { datatype { value: "http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#boolean" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "false" datatype: 2 } } } rows { prefix { value: "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/claim/" } } rows { name { value: "thompson1917-ch02-01" } } rows { name { value: "hasAssessment" } } rows { quad { s_iri { prefix_id: 15 } p_iri { prefix_id: 10 } o_iri { prefix_id: 9 name_id: 12 } } } rows { quad { s_iri { prefix_id: 14 name_id: 30 } p_iri { prefix_id: 7 name_id: 13 } o_literal { lex: "individual length and weight of 520,328 single fish (CANoAtLngt = 1, IndWgt > 0) of all species" } } } rows { name { value: "license" } } rows { quad { p_iri { name_id: 38 } o_literal { lex: "ICES Data Policy: public, CC BY 4.0 with attribution to ICES and the national institutes" } } } rows { name { 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quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:d0c30d13a10aaeb03f3cd30c76e5a8a283a2c969623ace73f657d1e2c774bab1" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:d2bbff10ab17df6b29b84e1ea896e441f61ec774bf91fbe2a90e66211ba45ba9" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:d5f37b83c495a00b6307073a01770633c615a771e395e4b4385117ae89dd91c9" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:dbd475737936f5fd6ddf36d560dcab2ca50326df5d5bba51fdd61fa0b33b4efe" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:e75067656ec5d16abd34cf435442046bf3eebd98625cbc5e18ac3a5d2d3475ab" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:e85e1ec7bcfebc655992ddf11f34dc9deb361526bb381804ff890988746a1b69" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:ec162445b4b028ee4123ee083b693c98ebb99397c2d3ff9c237b250b9e9ea27a" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:ef2a0e55d83efa4b19e8aec725892a854e2835176695e7d68c64d869028bace4" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:f3e8aec1df4a3d32d9da1742be8b29a8d644cd4b37e7714071712e5cbc3f1983" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:f3f4919255fcf0f593e542a20a9e015a52fbb4dd7b72a72031343a1798e3aa9a" } } } rows { quad { o_literal { lex: "sha256:f9363d745de26cf6f602e6495eea077ee9a1799b8d04b5e393ffad58b7fe34b6" } } } rows { name { value: "SoftwareAgent" } } rows { quad { s_iri { prefix_id: 13 name_id: 20 } p_iri { prefix_id: 4 name_id: 10 } o_iri { prefix_id: 5 name_id: 83 } g_iri { prefix_id: 2 name_id: 7 } } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 11 name_id: 16 } o_literal { lex: "delphisci claim tester (claude-fable-5-1-thinking-high; cursor/thompson-claim-tests-6e84)" } } } rows { name { value: "actedOnBehalfOf" } } rows { prefix { id: 8 value: "https://orcid.org/" } } rows { name { value: "0009-0007-4948-9192" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 5 name_id: 84 } o_iri { prefix_id: 8 } } } rows { name { value: "usesModel" } } rows { prefix { id: 1 value: "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/model/" } } rows { name { value: "claude-fable-5-1-thinking-high" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 10 } o_iri { prefix_id: 1 } } } rows { name { value: "identifier" } } rows { quad { s_iri { name_id: 87 } p_iri { prefix_id: 7 } o_literal { lex: "claude-fable-5-1-thinking-high" } } } rows { name { value: "LanguageModel" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 4 name_id: 10 } o_iri { prefix_id: 10 name_id: 89 } } } rows { quad { s_iri { prefix_id: 2 name_id: 4 } p_iri { prefix_id: 5 name_id: 19 } o_iri { prefix_id: 13 } } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 5 name_id: 81 } o_iri { prefix_id: 12 name_id: 18 } } } rows { name { value: "wasGeneratedBy" } } rows { name { value: "test" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 5 name_id: 90 } o_iri { prefix_id: 2 } } } rows { name { value: "plan" } } rows { name { value: "hadPlan" } } rows { prefix { id: 3 value: "https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/" } } rows { name { value: "README.md" } } rows { quad { s_iri { } p_iri { prefix_id: 5 } o_iri { prefix_id: 3 } } } rows { name { value: "Activity" } } rows { quad { s_iri { prefix_id: 2 name_id: 91 } p_iri { prefix_id: 4 name_id: 10 } o_iri { prefix_id: 5 name_id: 95 } } } rows { name { value: "qualifiedAssociation" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_iri { prefix_id: 2 name_id: 92 } } } rows { name { value: "wasAssociatedWith" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 5 name_id: 97 } o_iri { prefix_id: 13 name_id: 20 } } } rows { prefix { id: 15 value: "https://w3id.org/np/" } } rows { name { value: "created" } } rows { datatype { value: "http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime" } } rows { quad { s_iri { prefix_id: 15 name_id: 1 } p_iri { prefix_id: 7 name_id: 98 } o_literal { lex: "2026-11-08T16:24:31.889Z" datatype: 3 } g_iri { prefix_id: 2 name_id: 9 } } } rows { name { value: "creator" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 7 name_id: 99 } o_iri { prefix_id: 8 name_id: 85 } } } rows { prefix { id: 9 value: "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 7 name_id: 38 } o_iri { prefix_id: 9 name_id: 2 } } } rows { prefix { id: 14 value: "http://purl.org/nanopub/x/" } } rows { name { value: "hasNanopubType" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 14 name_id: 100 } o_iri { prefix_id: 10 name_id: 14 } } } rows { name { value: "introduces" } } rows { prefix { id: 16 value: "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 14 name_id: 101 } o_iri { prefix_id: 16 name_id: 12 } } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 11 name_id: 16 } o_literal { lex: "Claim test of thompson1917-ch02-01: supports, confidence 0.55" } } } rows { name { value: "domain" } } rows { prefix { id: 6 value: "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/domain/" } } rows { name { value: "thompson-growth-form-1917" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 10 name_id: 102 } o_iri { prefix_id: 6 } } } rows { name { value: "sig" } } rows { name { value: "hasAlgorithm" } } rows { quad { s_iri { prefix_id: 2 } p_iri { prefix_id: 14 } o_literal { lex: "RSA" } } } rows { name { value: "hasPublicKey" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "MIIBIjANBgkqhkiG9w0BAQEFAAOCAQ8AMIIBCgKCAQEAyFHtPB6p0mCjDozxlOY9CmO3nBm7Te3jFbXyLmM+G1tGe47Da0jYIbhkl9Oo1ZjxmCa3LCwlEqK8gj6hEIcL4ahW30JXh9HycfKVk1bugkzMEV15tJdTzAU3sGMFnbNsn43xY2LFLy45tApkRm5byEiM7oRRrooIdwoQKnP4Wzq/bfAoJ9qvW+MGkelyOTd1jbSt+KfmT7xKmDfWzAHddUlWwMX2QJOLxDaffOteTop6ZRgPiNmPJKA/S62Gac9XtSYT3oDkZ6/nr5cxxNLpOyxTf5FPISiCe11xYO/unYjY+mwnOfA8yhJIyx1l0O9I0vpOpn+E5TvyHJV+oSTrvwIDAQAB" } } } rows { name { value: "hasSignature" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_literal { lex: "ibLkffnBXeEbYM+nfo+UTZShO+k0rlhhex19TalkW5SnslDNYFuDD87CyQFkFcT8VGjUIDmEDjs1enF2vxXfXZokIZFWKRzdVwGu4Y3c+Yj2DvL1XeQIsKrCuXtYLupsOzBUSyd6v59Apq2g5tmmC+qhAML4UJCjDziY710UaIx8C8phLv+VDZFMruYN31CKkH+Dihf1xKaa+xoByXdZ3naanMoHhkIO4NBBMAJFPxRBQXgS39+Jx8KV3OVtV5KYoxkpr9gS49s0HVn7DyWtyVqniS66oJ4K3AzWQGHUSjJWN609pPi94NbITI1kBfK6b+HxEvpaSEm4DAVrMEv6+w==" } } } rows { name { value: "hasSignatureTarget" } } rows { quad { p_iri { } o_iri { prefix_id: 15 name_id: 1 } } } rows { name { value: "signedBy" } } rows { quad { p_iri { prefix_id: 14 name_id: 109 } o_iri { prefix_id: 8 name_id: 85 } } }