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Gestation clause mixed. Litter clause mixed. Camelus bactrianus is listed in measured.extra and does not vote." } ], "@type": [ "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment" ], "http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment": [ { "@value": "Measured: 395.75 days, mean of reported Camelus dromedarius gestation values (n = 2, gestation clause mixed; litter clause mixed; days [405.0, 386.51]; litter [1.0, 0.98]). Interpretation: The claim says twelve months, so the tolerance is one month, not the year-wide window used for the elephant's 'two years'. 'Never more than one' is read as a species-typical litter of one. A mean of at most 1.05 still counts as one. A mean of 1.5 or more means more than one is usual. A mean below 1 is not a pass: it is not 'one young'. The scope note names the Arabian dromedary, so the Bactrian camel is not part of the verdict." } ], "http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label": [ { "@value": "Claim test of aristotle-ha05-26: mixed, confidence 0.64" } ], "http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso": [ { "@id": "https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha05-26/result.json" } ], "http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAttributedTo": [ { "@id": "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets": [ { "@value": "The same two open mammal life-history tables used for the elephant test: AnAge and PanTHERIA. The voting species is Camelus dromedarius, the Arabian camel named in the claim's scope. A negative sentinel is missing. Camelus bactrianus may be printed beside the result and does not decide it." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType": [ { "@value": "claim-test/0.1.0" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind": [ { "@value": "biological" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation": [ { "@value": "A dromedary gestation two months or more away from twelve months, or a species-typical litter of 1.5 or more." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst": [ { "@value": "AnAge gives 405 days (13.3 months of 30.437 days), which is past the one-month edge at 395.687 days and short of the two-month refute edge at 426.118 days. PanTHERIA gives 386.51 days (12.7 months), inside the one-month band. The two tables therefore do not share a gestation band." }, { "@value": "Camelus bactrianus is in both tables and does not vote. Its values are stored beside the dromedary rows." }, { "@value": "PanTHERIA litter size is 0.98, which misses the pass interval [1.0, 1.05] by 0.02 and falls in the pre-registered below-1 band. AnAge litter size is 1. The verdict uses those bands. It does not average the two gestations and then re-test the average." }, { "@value": "The dromedary rows in these two tables had not been read when the bands were fixed." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation": [ { "@value": "The dromedary's recorded gestation sits within a month of twelve months, and its recorded litter size is one." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion": [ { "@value": "Pre-registered (claim refuted). Gestation at or below 304.37 days or at or above 426.118 days (ten months or fourteen months, two months off twelve) refutes the twelve-month clause. Litter size >= 1.5 refutes the single-young clause. Either failure refutes the claim. Gestation in [304.37, 334.813] or [395.687, 426.118], litter size in (1.05, 1.5), or litter size below 1.0, is mixed. If the two databases place the same quantity in different bands, the verdict is mixed. If no database reports a dromedary gestation, the verdict is inconclusive with reason data-unavailable. If gestation passes and litter size is missing, the verdict is inconclusive with reason data-unavailable. Camelus bactrianus is reported and does not vote." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence": [ { "@value": "0.64", "@type": "http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#double" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence": [ { "@id": "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha05-26--claim-test--dataset-1" }, { "@id": "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha05-26--claim-test--dataset-2" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict": [ { "@value": "mixed" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis": [ { "@value": "If the dromedary carries its young for twelve months and bears one at a time, the life-history tables give Camelus dromedarius a gestation within one month of 365.25 days and a litter size of one." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod": [ { "@value": "Place gestation in the pass band (334.813, 395.687) days, the mixed bands one to two months off, or the refute region two months or more off. Place litter size in [1.0, 1.05] (pass), (1.05, 1.5) or below 1 (mixed), or >= 1.5 (refute). Support only if every reported dromedary value is in a pass band and both quantities are present. No resolvability score is used." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion": [ { "@value": "Pre-registered (claim supported). In every database that reports the value, Camelus dromedarius gestation falls in the open interval (334.813, 395.687) days, which is 12 months of 30.437 days, plus or minus one such month, around 365.25 days; and litter size falls in [1.0, 1.05]. At least one database must report both a gestation and a litter size. 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