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https://w3id.org/np/RAUFEeswiJlpj__VWpt3ZRAuqD2CwjHQMgQMspQSVPtqc/assertion
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
Downloaded the AnAge build zip, kept genus Camelus rows with a positive maximum longevity in years, and applied the pre-registered windows: median in [20, 45] for the thirty-year clause and maximum >= 90 for the hundred-year clause. Both clauses must hold to support; a split is mixed; both failing refutes.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment
Measured: 31.9 years (median of Camelus maximum longevities) (n = 2). Interpretation: The sentence has two clauses: an ordinary lifespan of about thirty years, and exceptional cases of about a hundred. AnAge does not publish a mean or modal lifespan, so the ordinary clause is operationalized on the maximum, which is an upper description of how long camels are recorded to live. A maximum near thirty supports 'about thirty' and leaves little room for a much longer exceptional life; a maximum of 90 or more is required before the hundred-year clause holds. Lamas and other camelids outside genus Camelus are out of scope.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Claim test of aristotle-ha08-19 (pr-110): mixed, confidence 0.62
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso
https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha08-19/pr-110/result.json
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAttributedTo
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets
A public longevity compilation with a species-level maximum lifespan in years for the genus Camelus, retrievable as a file with a licence and checksum, and not taken from Aristotle's text. Questionable-quality rows stay in the primary set.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType
claim-test/0.1.0
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind
biological
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation
Camelus maxima are not on a thirty-year scale (median under 20 or over 45) and none reaches 90 years, or one of those two failures occurs while the other clause holds (mixed).
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
Assessments were hints only. They are not measurements.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
Confidence rule, fixed now: 0.62 for any supports, refutes, or mixed verdict, because the ordinary-lifespan clause is being read off a maximum; 0.40 if inconclusive.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
Written before this session downloaded or read anage_data.txt. No Camelus longevity value has been looked up for this registration.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation
The median of Camelus maximum longevities lies between 20 and 45 years, and at least one Camelus maximum is at least 90 years.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion
Pre-registered. A clause fails when its holding condition is false. Both clauses failing refutes the claim. One holding and one failing is mixed. If no Camelus row has a positive maximum longevity, or the table cannot be read, the verdict is inconclusive with reason data-unavailable. There is no undecided band: a median outside [20, 45] fails the thirty-year clause, and a maximum under 90 fails the hundred-year clause.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence
0.62
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict
mixed
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis
If camels live for about thirty years and some reach a hundred, the maximum longevities recorded for Camelus species should sit near thirty years and the longest of those records should reach about a hundred years.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod
One number per Camelus species, the published maximum longevity in years. Median and maximum of that list are compared with the fixed windows above. Dropping rows whose Data quality is 'questionable' is reported as a sensitivity and does not change the verdict.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion
Pre-registered. From AnAge rows with Genus 'Camelus' (case-insensitive) and a positive Maximum longevity (yrs), let M be the species-level maximum longevities. Clause 'about thirty' holds if and only if 20 <= median(M) <= 45. Clause 'to a hundred' holds if and only if max(M) >= 90. The claim is supported only if both clauses hold. AnAge records maximum longevity, so 'live for about thirty years' is tested as: the longest recorded lives are about thirty years (the scale of camel life in this compilation), and the hundred-year clause is tested directly against that maximum.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered
false
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/claim/aristotle-ha08-19
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasAssessment
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1
http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
maximum longevity of Camelus species
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1
http://purl.org/dc/terms/license
CC BY 3.0 (Human Ageing Genomic Resources terms)
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/EvidenceItem
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Dataset: AnAge: The Animal Ageing and Longevity Database, build 15
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#atLocation
https://genomics.senescence.info/species/dataset.zip
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasDerivedFrom
https://genomics.senescence.info/species/
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha08-19--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
delphisci claim tester (Grok 4.7; cursor/aristotle-claim-tests-a5fd)
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#actedOnBehalfOf
https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192
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2026-11-08T16:24:31.781Z
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https://w3id.org/np/RAUFEeswiJlpj__VWpt3ZRAuqD2CwjHQMgQMspQSVPtqc
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Claim test of aristotle-ha08-19 (pr-110): mixed, confidence 0.62
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https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/domain
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/domain/aristotle-biology
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