https://w3id.org/np/RAQQL5aXO-M49CEk0CUuVSpxjP2F6nWmZjiI9SEjFGBTE
.trig | .trig.txt | .jelly | .jelly.txt | .jsonld | .jsonld.txt | .nq | .nq.txt | .xml | .xml.txt
@prefix this: <https://w3id.org/np/RAQQL5aXO-M49CEk0CUuVSpxjP2F6nWmZjiI9SEjFGBTE> .
@prefix sub: <https://w3id.org/np/RAQQL5aXO-M49CEk0CUuVSpxjP2F6nWmZjiI9SEjFGBTE/> .
@prefix np: <http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#> .
@prefix rdf: <http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#> .
@prefix prov: <http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#> .
@prefix npx: <http://purl.org/nanopub/x/> .
@prefix dc: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> .
@prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> .
sub:Head {
this: a np:Nanopublication;
np:hasAssertion sub:assertion;
np:hasProvenance sub:provenance;
np:hasPublicationInfo sub:pubinfo .
}
sub:assertion {
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha07-15--claim-test> a <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment>;
dc:description "Opened the ONS workbook with xlrd. Each year sheet has a cell 'Age of father' and, on the next row, father's age across columns. Births were summed down each of those columns, excluding the Total row, then summed across the year sheets. A title that names both mother and father was not used as the axis. The preregistered thresholds were applied: an open bin counts only when its lower bound is 60 or 70.";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment> "Measured: null live births on the father-age axis at 70 (exact year or bin starting at 70) (n = 41). Interpretation: The tested clauses are the ones a birth register can measure: men have procreated at about sixty and at seventy. 'Sexually competent' and 'in most cases' are not read off birth counts, because a man can be fertile and not appear as a registered father. A bin that starts at 70 counts as fathers aged at least 70, which is the upper-age example in the claim, and is labelled as a bin rather than as exact age 70.";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Claim test of aristotle-ha07-15: inconclusive, confidence 0.4";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso> <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha07-15/result.json>;
prov:wasAttributedTo <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7>;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets> "A civil-registration table of live births by single year of father's age, or by bins whose lower bound is exactly 60 or exactly 70, for a defined population and set of years. Maternal-age tables, and bins such as 55 and over that mix ages below the target, do not isolate the claim.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType> "claim-test/0.1.0";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind> "none";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation> "The same complete registration table lists every father's age from 20 through 75, has births at ages 25 to 39, and has none at 60 or above, or none at 70 or above.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst> "From 1 September 2009 the age of a second female parent can be included with father's age. That is a property of the registration system and is not removed here.",
"The father-age header lists exact ages 15–54 and open bins whose lower bounds are [55]. A bin counts for age 60 or 70 only when its lower bound is that age, so these bins were not used as those counts.",
"The population is births registered in England and Wales from 2000 to 2016, not men in Aristotle's world and not a measure of sexual function.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation> "Registered live births in England and Wales, 2000 to 2016, include fathers aged 60 and fathers aged 70.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion> "Pre-registered. Refute an age clause only if exact single-year ages run from 20 through 75, the sum of births at father's ages 25 through 39 is greater than 0, and the sum at that age and every higher listed exact age is 0. If one clause holds and the other is refuted, the verdict is mixed (confidence 0.60). If no father-age anchor is found, ages do not isolate 60 and 70, or the file is not a readable spreadsheet, the verdict is inconclusive with reason data-unavailable (confidence 0.40).";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence> "0.4"^^xsd:double;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence> <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha07-15--claim-test--dataset-1>;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict> "inconclusive";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis> "If men have fathered children at sixty and at seventy, the England and Wales live-birth registration table by single year of father's age records at least one birth at father's age 60 and at least one at father's age 70, or in a bin whose lower bound is that age.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod> "Find the father-age anchor, sum births on that age axis, and apply the thresholds in pass_criterion and fail_criterion. Do not treat a mother-age margin as the father.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion> "Pre-registered. Support requires a table anchored by a cell whose text matches father and age (and is the age axis, not only the mother's), with births summed across years and across mother's age. The age-60 clause holds if the exact age 60 sums to at least 1, or, when exact ages stop before 60, a bin whose lower bound is 60 sums to at least 1. The age-70 clause is the same at 70. Both clauses must hold. Confidence 0.70. This does not measure whether most men remain sexually competent.";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered> "false"^^xsd:boolean .
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/claim/aristotle-ha07-15> <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasAssessment>
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha07-15--claim-test> .
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha07-15--claim-test--dataset-1>
a <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/EvidenceItem>;
dc:description "registered live births by single year of parental age";
dc:license "Open Government Licence";
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Dataset: Live births by age of mother and father, 2000 to 2016, England and Wales";
prov:atLocation <https://www.ons.gov.uk/file?uri=/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/livebirths/adhocs/008072livebirthsbyageofmotherandfather2000to2016englandandwales/livebirthsbyageofmotherandfather2000to2016.xls>;
prov:wasDerivedFrom <https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/livebirths/adhocs/008072livebirthsbyageofmotherandfather2000to2016englandandwales>;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasChecksum> "sha256:ee73dafc93a31c20543e07bcd32c91b65dce850ea9b559edfa630ac9dd9892ef" .
}
sub:provenance {
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7> a prov:SoftwareAgent;
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "delphisci claim tester (grok-4.7; bc-37abdfd5-2c7d-45b6-8f26-227da55194a4)";
prov:actedOnBehalfOf <https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192>;
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/usesModel> <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/model/grok-4-7> .
<https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/model/grok-4-7> a <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/LanguageModel>;
dc:identifier "grok-4.7" .
sub:assertion prov:wasAttributedTo <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7>;
prov:wasDerivedFrom <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha07-15/result.json>;
prov:wasGeneratedBy sub:test .
sub:plan prov:hadPlan <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/README.md> .
sub:test a prov:Activity;
prov:qualifiedAssociation sub:plan;
prov:wasAssociatedWith <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7> .
}
sub:pubinfo {
this: dc:created "2026-11-08T16:24:31.777Z"^^xsd:dateTime;
dc:creator <https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192>;
dc:license <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/>;
npx:hasNanopubType <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment>;
npx:introduces <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha07-15--claim-test>;
<http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Claim test of aristotle-ha07-15: inconclusive, confidence 0.4";
<https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/domain> <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/domain/aristotle-biology> .
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npx:hasSignatureTarget this:;
npx:signedBy <https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192> .
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