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https://w3id.org/np/RAPQQjP7v24tMCHFaRDFu42mOBxdskAMPXTl2vu9QZ4cI/assertion
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
Downloaded the Dryad zip for Chen et al. 2023 and read the divorce-rate CSV. A species was a pigeon or dove when Family was Columbidae, Order was Columbiformes, or the genus was on the pre-registered list. The median of the decimal divorce rates was compared with the pre-registered cuts (pass at or below 0.05, fail at or above 0.20, at least 3 species). The Brouwer and Griffith 2019 extra-pair text supplement was requested from PMC; the response was not the checksummed table, so no extra-pair rate was calculated. Male and female promiscuity scores were left unused because the README defines them as mating-system scores.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment
Measured: 0 median annual divorce rate among Columbidae species in the table (n = 1). Interpretation: The tame pigeon, ring-dove and turtle-dove in History of Animals IX.7 are read as Columba livia, Columba palumbus and Streptopelia turtur, and the claim is read as applying to pigeons and doves (Columbidae), which the same paragraph groups together. 'The union is only broken by death' plus 'as a general rule' is read as a low species-level divorce rate, not as a count of marked pairs followed until death. 'Occasionally a female will cohabit with other than her mate' is read as a recorded extra-pair mating or extra-pair offspring rate above zero, not as divorce and not as social polygamy. Named species are reported separately when present and do not replace the family median.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Claim test of aristotle-ha09-08: inconclusive, confidence 0.86
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso
https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha09-08/result.json
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets
A species-level table of birds, compiled from field studies, that reports a numeric divorce rate or a numeric extra-pair rate, with a family, order, or genus name so Columbidae can be identified. The table must be a fetched file with a URL, byte size and SHA-256. AVONET, AnAge, GBIF occurrences and Wikipedia are not admissible: they do not record pair duration or extra-pair mating.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType
claim-test/0.1.0
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind
biological
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation
The median Columbidae divorce rate is at least 0.20, or every Columbidae species with an extra-pair study has a rate of zero.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
Divorce rate in this file is the share of monogamous pairs in which both partners survived and changed mates. It does not by itself show that pigeons are monogamous, and it is not a count of pairs followed until death.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
Inner CSV SHA-256 90a7d51de39ef04a8074557112c25a24ebd696cbe0cb4a729ae5f7bcba9561d8 and README SHA-256 e5e59f19c42a483dcbde07e806b6384d982fe702d9cb489c1ac4c63cd0d68c6d match the Dryad file records. The zip SHA-256 is the fetched object.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
The denominator is the species compiled by Chen et al., not every pigeon and dove.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
The divorce table has 232 species and one Columbidae row, Columba livia. Columba palumbus and Streptopelia turtur are absent, so the pre-registered minimum of 3 species is not met.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst
The occasional extra-pair mating clause was not measured. The PMC supplement URL returned an HTML page rather than MEC-28-4864-s007.txt.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation
Columbidae species with a published divorce rate have a median rate of at most 0.05, and at least one Columbidae species has an extra-pair mating or extra-pair paternity rate above zero.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion
Fidelity is refuted, and the claim is refuted, if at least 3 Columbidae species have a numeric divorce rate and the median is at least 0.20. Fidelity is mixed if at least 3 species have a rate and the median is above 0.05 and below 0.20. The extra-pair clause is refuted only if at least 3 Columbidae species have an extra-pair rate and every one of those rates is 0. One clause passing and the other refuted is mixed. Fewer than 3 species with a divorce rate is inconclusive, reason underpowered. No divorce-rate column, or no Columbidae row, is inconclusive, reason data-unavailable. Fidelity passing while no extra-pair rate is present for any Columbidae species is inconclusive, reason data-unavailable, because the occasional-mating clause was not in the table. Polygamy or promiscuity scores are not extra-pair rates unless the dataset README defines that column as mating outside the social pair.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence
0.86
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test--dataset-1
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict
inconclusive
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis
Among pigeons and doves, pairs stay together until one partner dies, so the species-level divorce rate is near zero, and a female sometimes mates with a bird other than her mate, so extra-pair mating is recorded at least once.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod
Median divorce rate across Columbidae species, minimum 3 species, pass at most 0.05 and fail at least 0.20. Extra-pair clause is a presence test (any rate above zero) and is refuted only when at least 3 species are all exactly zero. Both clauses must pass to support the claim. Percentages above 1 are divided by 100 before the median is taken.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion
Fidelity passes only if at least 3 Columbidae species have a numeric divorce rate and the median rate is at most 0.05. The extra-pair clause passes only if at least one Columbidae species has a numeric extra-pair rate greater than 0. The claim is supported only if both clauses pass. A row is Columbidae if a family field equals Columbidae, or an order field equals Columbiformes, or the genus is in admissible_genera. Rates stored above 1 are percentages and are divided by 100. A value outside 0 to 100 means that column is not a rate.
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered
false
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/claim/aristotle-ha09-08
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test--dataset-1
http://purl.org/dc/terms/description
species-level annual divorce rates, with family and order
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test--dataset-1
http://purl.org/dc/terms/license
CC0-1.0
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/EvidenceItem
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Dataset: Divorce rate in birds increases with male promiscuity and migration distance
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#atLocation
https://datadryad.org/api/v2/versions/222112/download
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test--dataset-1
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasDerivedFrom
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.cvdncjt75
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test--dataset-1
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasChecksum
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7
http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7
http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
delphisci claim tester (Grok 4.7; cursor/aristotle-life-history-j-5bc1)
https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7
http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#actedOnBehalfOf
https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192
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Grok 4.7
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https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-08--claim-test
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http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label
Claim test of aristotle-ha09-08: inconclusive, confidence 0.86
https://w3id.org/np/RAPQQjP7v24tMCHFaRDFu42mOBxdskAMPXTl2vu9QZ4cI
https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/domain
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