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Thresholds are the claim's 'about fourteen', not a fit to those totals." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation": [ { "@value": "The survey-weighted median age at menarche for adult women in this cycle falls between 13 and 15 years inclusive." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion": [ { "@value": "Pre-registered. Refuted if that weighted median is < 12.0 or > 16.0. Mixed if the median is in [12.0, 13.0) or (15.0, 16.0]. Inconclusive with reason underpowered if fewer than 200 valid women remain, and with reason data-unavailable if the public XPT files cannot be retrieved or RHQ010 or WTINT2YR is absent. Codes 0 (not started), 20 (20 or older), 777 and 999 are excluded rather than imputed." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence": [ { "@value": "0.45", "@type": "http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#double" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence": [ { "@id": "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha07-02--claim-test--dataset-1" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict": [ { "@value": "mixed" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis": [ { "@value": "If the menstruation clause holds, the age at first menstrual period among adult women is about fourteen years." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod": [ { "@value": "Weighted median on the interview weight. No regression on covariates. The window [13, 15] is the operational meaning of 'about fourteen', one year on either side. 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