https://w3id.org/np/RA6kEg-uiHsfGlT9WKXVSCV7a1DT7Izy_77Ez7F-QKBCQ/Head https://w3id.org/np/RA6kEg-uiHsfGlT9WKXVSCV7a1DT7Izy_77Ez7F-QKBCQ http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasAssertion https://w3id.org/np/RA6kEg-uiHsfGlT9WKXVSCV7a1DT7Izy_77Ez7F-QKBCQ/assertion https://w3id.org/np/RA6kEg-uiHsfGlT9WKXVSCV7a1DT7Izy_77Ez7F-QKBCQ http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasProvenance https://w3id.org/np/RA6kEg-uiHsfGlT9WKXVSCV7a1DT7Izy_77Ez7F-QKBCQ/provenance https://w3id.org/np/RA6kEg-uiHsfGlT9WKXVSCV7a1DT7Izy_77Ez7F-QKBCQ http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasPublicationInfo https://w3id.org/np/RA6kEg-uiHsfGlT9WKXVSCV7a1DT7Izy_77Ez7F-QKBCQ/pubinfo https://w3id.org/np/RA6kEg-uiHsfGlT9WKXVSCV7a1DT7Izy_77Ez7F-QKBCQ http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#Nanopublication https://w3id.org/np/RA6kEg-uiHsfGlT9WKXVSCV7a1DT7Izy_77Ez7F-QKBCQ/assertion https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 http://purl.org/dc/terms/description Downloaded the Requier figshare life-history CSV. Decimal commas were parsed as decimal marks. The lifespan column is named LSP and is the lifespan variable named in the figshare description, so the primary rule is the median of AOF/LSP with cutoffs 0.35 and 0.50. Hairiness is scored only when a hairiness column and a separate worker-age column are both present. Thresholds were not changed. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment Measured: 0.7173850440285361 median of AOF/lifespan (n = 865). Interpretation: Aristotle assigns indoor work to older bees and outside carrying to young bees, and says the indoor bees are rougher and hairier. Outside carrying is operationalized as the onset of foraging (AOF) in the Requier RFID life-history table. 'Young' means the first portion of the worker's recorded life, not a modern textbook age in days, which is why the primary cutoff is a fraction of lifespan. The absolute-day fallback is used only when lifespan is missing. Hairiness is scored only if the file actually contains it. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label Claim test of aristotle-ha09-29 (pr-110): refutes, confidence 0.7 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/aristotle-biology/aristotle-ha09-29/pr-110/result.json https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAttributedTo https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-grok-4-7 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets A public table of individually monitored Apis mellifera workers with age at onset of foraging, and lifespan if published, under an open licence. The workers should be known-age bees, not an unmarked hive average. One apiary is admissible; it is not a global sample, and that limit is a caveat rather than a reason to discard the file. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType claim-test/0.1.0 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind biological https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation Foraging begins at or after half of lifespan, so the outside carriers are the older bees, or hairiness falls with age. A task reversal refutes the claim even when hairiness was not measured. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst Assessments were hints only. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst Confidence rule, fixed now: 0.70 if refutes or supports; 0.55 if mixed; 0.40 if inconclusive. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst The file is one French apiary in 2011, three colonies, sisters from one source colony. A result there does not by itself describe every honey-bee population. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst Written before the figshare CSV was downloaded. The article record names AOF, age of first exit, and lifespan as the calculated variables, and licences the file CC BY 4.0. The column header and the values have not been read. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation The median bee begins outside foraging in the young part of life (AOF at or before 35 percent of lifespan), and, if hairiness is in the same table, hairiness rises with worker age. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion Pre-registered. The task clause fails if n >= 100 and median AOF/lifespan >= 0.50, or, in the no-lifespan fallback, median AOF >= 14 days. Between the hold and fail cutoffs the task clause is mixed as a verdict by itself when hair cannot be scored: task mixed and hair absent gives verdict mixed. The hair clause fails if it can be scored and Spearman rho <= -0.20 with p < 0.05. Combination: among scored clauses, all failing gives refutes; a mix of holding and failing gives mixed; a single holding clause with the other absent gives inconclusive with reason other (the absent hair clause blocks a full support); task or hair data with n < 100, or no AOF column, gives inconclusive with reason underpowered or data-unavailable. A task failure with hair absent refutes, because that scored clause is false. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence 0.7 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict refutes https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis If older honey-bee workers do the indoor work and young workers do the outside carrying, bees should begin foraging early in life rather than in the second half of it. If older workers are the hairy ones, hairiness should increase with age. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod Median of AOF divided by lifespan, with fixed cutoffs 0.35 (hold) and 0.50 (fail). The 7-day and 14-day absolute cutoffs are used only if the file has AOF and no lifespan. Hairiness, if a column exists, is a Spearman correlation against worker age. No threshold is changed after the header is seen; an unrecognised header makes the test inconclusive rather than retargeted. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion Pre-registered. Task clause, from the Requier figshare life-history table, rows with age at onset of foraging (AOF, days) > 0 and lifespan (days) > 0 and AOF <= lifespan. The task clause holds if n >= 100 and the median of AOF/lifespan <= 0.35. If a lifespan column is absent but AOF is present, the task clause instead holds if n >= 100 and median AOF <= 7 days. Hair clause, only if the same table has a hairiness column and a worker-age column that is not AOF: it holds if n >= 100 and Spearman correlation of age with hairiness >= 0.20 with two-sided p < 0.05. The claim is supported only when every clause that the file can score holds, and both the task clause and the hair clause are scored. 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