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One apiary is admissible; it is not a global sample, and that limit is a caveat rather than a reason to discard the file." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType": [ { "@value": "claim-test/0.1.0" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind": [ { "@value": "biological" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation": [ { "@value": "Foraging begins at or after half of lifespan, so the outside carriers are the older bees, or hairiness falls with age. A task reversal refutes the claim even when hairiness was not measured." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst": [ { "@value": "Assessments were hints only." }, { "@value": "Confidence rule, fixed now: 0.70 if refutes or supports; 0.55 if mixed; 0.40 if inconclusive." }, { "@value": "The file is one French apiary in 2011, three colonies, sisters from one source colony. A result there does not by itself describe every honey-bee population." }, { "@value": "Written before the figshare CSV was downloaded. The article record names AOF, age of first exit, and lifespan as the calculated variables, and licences the file CC BY 4.0. The column header and the values have not been read." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation": [ { "@value": "The median bee begins outside foraging in the young part of life (AOF at or before 35 percent of lifespan), and, if hairiness is in the same table, hairiness rises with worker age." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion": [ { "@value": "Pre-registered. The task clause fails if n >= 100 and median AOF/lifespan >= 0.50, or, in the no-lifespan fallback, median AOF >= 14 days. Between the hold and fail cutoffs the task clause is mixed as a verdict by itself when hair cannot be scored: task mixed and hair absent gives verdict mixed. The hair clause fails if it can be scored and Spearman rho <= -0.20 with p < 0.05. Combination: among scored clauses, all failing gives refutes; a mix of holding and failing gives mixed; a single holding clause with the other absent gives inconclusive with reason other (the absent hair clause blocks a full support); task or hair data with n < 100, or no AOF column, gives inconclusive with reason underpowered or data-unavailable. A task failure with hair absent refutes, because that scored clause is false." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence": [ { "@value": "0.7", "@type": "http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#double" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence": [ { "@id": "https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/aristotle-ha09-29--claim-test--pr-110--dataset-1" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict": [ { "@value": "refutes" } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis": [ { "@value": "If older honey-bee workers do the indoor work and young workers do the outside carrying, bees should begin foraging early in life rather than in the second half of it. If older workers are the hairy ones, hairiness should increase with age." } ], "https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod": [ { "@value": "Median of AOF divided by lifespan, with fixed cutoffs 0.35 (hold) and 0.50 (fail). The 7-day and 14-day absolute cutoffs are used only if the file has AOF and no lifespan. 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