https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA/Head https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasAssertion https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA/assertion https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasProvenance https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA/provenance https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasPublicationInfo https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA/pubinfo https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#Nanopublication https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA/assertion https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test http://purl.org/dc/terms/description OLS slope of child height (daughters x1.08) on midparentHeight over all children; 95% interval from a family-cluster bootstrap (2000 resamples, seed 1889). https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment Measured: 0.7126 slope of child height on mid-parent height (inch per inch) (n = 934, 95% cluster-bootstrap interval [0.613, 0.814]). Interpretation: The claim is the specific fraction two-thirds for mid-parent to child, 'on the average of many cases'. Galton computed it from this same material (Table 11), so the test is a recount with modern regression rather than independent data; an independent cohort is a second test. Mid-parent is (father + 1.08 x mother)/2 as in the dataset's midparentHeight column. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label Claim test of galton1889-02: supports, confidence 0.85 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/evolution-after-darwin/galton1889-02/result.json https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAttributedTo https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-claude-fable-5-1 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets Planned datasets: histdata-galtonfamilies https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType claim-test/0.1.0 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind biological https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation The 95% interval excludes 0.667 and its nearest bound is more than 0.10 away from 0.667: refutes (regression exists but not at the stated fraction). Interval excludes 0.667 by 0.10 or less: mixed. Fewer than 500 children parsed: inconclusive. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst All four Galton tests use this one dataset, which is the material Galton himself summarised; they are a recount with modern regression, not independent evidence, and count as one dataset for any aggregate. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst Galton's Table 11 used 928 children binned to the inch; HistData has 934 individual heights, so small differences from his 2/3 are expected even if his arithmetic was right. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation Slope of child height (daughters x1.08) on mid-parent height, OLS over all 934 children, has a 95% confidence interval (family-cluster bootstrap, 2000 resamples) that contains 0.667: supports. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion The 95% interval excludes 0.667 and its nearest bound is more than 0.10 away from 0.667: refutes (regression exists but not at the stated fraction). Interval excludes 0.667 by 0.10 or less: mixed. Fewer than 500 children parsed: inconclusive. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence 0.85 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1 https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict supports https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis If Galton's law holds as stated, the ordinary least-squares slope of adult child height on mid-parent height in his own family records is two-thirds, with daughters' heights multiplied by 1.08 as he did. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod OLS slope of child height (daughters x1.08) on midparentHeight over all children; 95% interval from a family-cluster bootstrap (2000 resamples, seed 1889). https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion Slope of child height (daughters x1.08) on mid-parent height, OLS over all 934 children, has a 95% confidence interval (family-cluster bootstrap, 2000 resamples) that contains 0.667: supports. https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered true https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/claim/galton1889-02 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasAssessment https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1 http://purl.org/dc/terms/description https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1 http://purl.org/dc/terms/license GPL (HistData); 1886 records public domain https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1 http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/EvidenceItem https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label Dataset: Galton's family height records (1886), Hanley (2004) transcription, HistData::GaltonFamilies via the Rdatasets CSV mirror https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1 http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#atLocation https://vincentarelbundock.github.io/Rdatasets/csv/HistData/GaltonFamilies.csv https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1 http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasDerivedFrom https://vincentarelbundock.github.io/Rdatasets/doc/HistData/GaltonFamilies.html https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1 https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasChecksum sha256:b1fc91e4d4b9604661967dcc62ff1055eaa3020c4d5c42d1f9d588f74b9b3317 https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA/provenance https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-claude-fable-5-1 http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#SoftwareAgent https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-claude-fable-5-1 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label delphisci claim tester (claude-fable-5.1; 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