@prefix this: <https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA> .
@prefix sub: <https://w3id.org/np/RA1Cjd-3Zg1ukzgXuPyU-DHKrq16gMx9diJlXm1YcOdTA/> .
@prefix np: <http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#> .
@prefix rdf: <http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#> .
@prefix prov: <http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#> .
@prefix npx: <http://purl.org/nanopub/x/> .
@prefix dc: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> .
@prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> .

sub:Head {
  this: a np:Nanopublication;
    np:hasAssertion sub:assertion;
    np:hasProvenance sub:provenance;
    np:hasPublicationInfo sub:pubinfo .
}

sub:assertion {
  <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test> a <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/Assessment>;
    dc:description "OLS slope of child height (daughters x1.08) on midparentHeight over all children; 95% interval from a family-cluster bootstrap (2000 resamples, seed 1889).";
    <http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment> "Measured: 0.7126 slope of child height on mid-parent height (inch per inch) (n = 934, 95% cluster-bootstrap interval [0.613, 0.814]). Interpretation: The claim is the specific fraction two-thirds for mid-parent to child, 'on the average of many cases'. Galton computed it from this same material (Table 11), so the test is a recount with modern regression rather than independent data; an independent cohort is a second test. Mid-parent is (father + 1.08 x mother)/2 as in the dataset's midparentHeight column.";
    <http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Claim test of galton1889-02: supports, confidence 0.85";
    <http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#seeAlso> <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/evolution-after-darwin/galton1889-02/result.json>;
    prov:wasAttributedTo <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-claude-fable-5-1>;
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/admissibleDatasets> "Planned datasets: histdata-galtonfamilies";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/assessmentType> "claim-test/0.1.0";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/dataKind> "biological";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/disconfirmingObservation> "The 95% interval excludes 0.667 and its nearest bound is more than 0.10 away from 0.667: refutes (regression exists but not at the stated fraction). Interval excludes 0.667 by 0.10 or less: mixed. Fewer than 500 children parsed: inconclusive.";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/evidenceAgainst> "All four Galton tests use this one dataset, which is the material Galton himself summarised; they are a recount with modern regression, not independent evidence, and count as one dataset for any aggregate.",
      "Galton's Table 11 used 928 children binned to the inch; HistData has 934 individual heights, so small differences from his 2/3 are expected even if his arithmetic was right.";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/expectedObservation> "Slope of child height (daughters x1.08) on mid-parent height, OLS over all 934 children, has a 95% confidence interval (family-cluster bootstrap, 2000 resamples) that contains 0.667: supports.";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/failCriterion> "The 95% interval excludes 0.667 and its nearest bound is more than 0.10 away from 0.667: refutes (regression exists but not at the stated fraction). Interval excludes 0.667 by 0.10 or less: mixed. Fewer than 500 children parsed: inconclusive.";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasConfidence> "0.85"^^xsd:double;
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasEvidence> <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1>;
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hasVerdict> "supports";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/hypothesis> "If Galton's law holds as stated, the ordinary least-squares slope of adult child height on mid-parent height in his own family records is two-thirds, with daughters' heights multiplied by 1.08 as he did.";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/inferenceMethod> "OLS slope of child height (daughters x1.08) on midparentHeight over all children; 95% interval from a family-cluster bootstrap (2000 resamples, seed 1889).";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/passCriterion> "Slope of child height (daughters x1.08) on mid-parent height, OLS over all 934 children, has a 95% confidence interval (family-cluster bootstrap, 2000 resamples) that contains 0.667: supports.";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/preregistered> "true"^^xsd:boolean .
  
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      <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test> .
  
  <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/evidence/galton1889-02--claim-test--dataset-1> a
      <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/EvidenceItem>;
    dc:description "";
    dc:license "GPL (HistData); 1886 records public domain";
    <http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Dataset: Galton's family height records (1886), Hanley (2004) transcription, HistData::GaltonFamilies via the Rdatasets CSV mirror";
    prov:atLocation <https://vincentarelbundock.github.io/Rdatasets/csv/HistData/GaltonFamilies.csv>;
    prov:wasDerivedFrom <https://vincentarelbundock.github.io/Rdatasets/doc/HistData/GaltonFamilies.html>;
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}

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  <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/model/claude-fable-5-1> a <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/LanguageModel>;
    dc:identifier "claude-fable-5.1" .
  
  sub:assertion prov:wasAttributedTo <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-claude-fable-5-1>;
    prov:wasDerivedFrom <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/evolution-after-darwin/galton1889-02/result.json>;
    prov:wasGeneratedBy sub:test .
  
  sub:plan prov:hadPlan <https://github.com/fractastical/delphisci/blob/bf2af6ee0a84e23ffa6414ad7a0a50a8c276506e/test-data/claim-tests/README.md> .
  
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    prov:qualifiedAssociation sub:plan;
    prov:wasAssociatedWith <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/agent/delphisci-claim-tester-claude-fable-5-1> .
}

sub:pubinfo {
  this: dc:created "2026-11-08T16:24:31.866Z"^^xsd:dateTime;
    dc:creator <https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4948-9192>;
    dc:license <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/>;
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    npx:introduces <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/assessment/galton1889-02--claim-test>;
    <http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Claim test of galton1889-02: supports, confidence 0.85";
    <https://w3id.org/delphi/ontology/domain> <https://w3id.org/delphi/resource/domain/evolution-after-darwin> .
  
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